Ligue 1· Regular Season - 13· Stade Jean Bouin
Paris FC
Le Mans5 Dec
Paris FC vs Le Mans Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Paris FC vs Le Mans tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Paris FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XParis FC or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Le Mans +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Le Mans or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Paris FC to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Paris FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Le Mans to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Le Mans -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Paris FC vs Le Mans preview & analysis
Match preview
Paris FC host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 13) at Stade Jean Bouin on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Paris FC arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Lorient 0-1 away. They're 5th in the table with 11 points from 6 games. Le Mans arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 1-3 away. They're 14th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Paris FC have won 1, Le Mans have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris FC narrow favourites: Paris FC 44%, draw 38%, Le Mans 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Paris FC 2-1 Le Mans.
Recent form
Paris FC- 10 OctALorient0-1
- 19 SeptHStrasbourg2-1
- 12 SeptHLyon0-0
- 6 SeptAMarseille3-2
- 30 AugHNice3-0
Le Mans- 10 OctAParis Saint Germain1-3
- 2 OctAGuingamp1-2
- 19 SeptHLorient2-1
- 13 SeptHLens2-2
- 5 SeptANice1-1
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Paris FC vs Le Mans: FAQ
What is the Paris FC vs Le Mans prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Paris FC 2-1 Le Mans.
Who is the favourite to win Paris FC vs Le Mans?
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Paris FC are favourites. Our model gives Paris FC a 44% chance of winning, Le Mans 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Le Mans?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Paris FC vs Le Mans kick off?
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Paris FC vs Le Mans kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino.
