Lille
Auxerre5 Dec
Lille vs Auxerre Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lille vs Auxerre tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XLille or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Auxerre +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Auxerre or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Lille to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Auxerre to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Auxerre -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Lille vs Auxerre preview & analysis
Match preview
Lille host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 13) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lille arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Arsenal 0-3 away. They're 2nd in the table with 13 points from 6 games. Auxerre arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Rennes 1-4 away. They're 16th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lille have won 3, Auxerre have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lille narrow favourites: Lille 44%, draw 38%, Auxerre 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Lille 1-0 Auxerre.
Recent form
- 13 OctAArsenal0-3
- 10 OctHLe Havre1-0
- 2 OctHZulte Waregem2-1
- 20 SeptANice1-2
- 13 SeptHEstac Troyes2-0
- 11 OctARennes1-4
- 2 OctHClermont Foot4-3
- 20 SeptHStade Brestois 292-1
- 12 SeptHNice1-0
- 4 SeptALyon1-3
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Lille vs Auxerre: FAQ
What is the Lille vs Auxerre prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Lille 1-0 Auxerre.
Who is the favourite to win Lille vs Auxerre?
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Lille are favourites. Our model gives Lille a 44% chance of winning, Auxerre 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lille vs Auxerre?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Lille vs Auxerre kick off?
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Lille vs Auxerre kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille.