Brasileirão· Regular Season - 38· Allianz Parque
Palmeiras
Coritiba2 Dec
Palmeiras vs Coritiba Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 2 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Palmeiras vs Coritiba tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Palmeiras +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XPalmeiras or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Coritiba +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Coritiba or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Palmeiras to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Palmeiras -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Coritiba to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Coritiba -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Palmeiras vs Coritiba preview & analysis
Match preview
Palmeiras host Coritiba in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 38) at Allianz Parque on Wednesday, 2 December 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Palmeiras arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Fluminense 2-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 63 points from 30 games. Coritiba are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Most recently they drew with Botafogo 1-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 39 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Palmeiras have won 5, Coritiba have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Palmeiras narrow favourites: Palmeiras 44%, draw 38%, Coritiba 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Palmeiras 1-0 Coritiba.
Recent form
Palmeiras- 15 OctAFluminense2-1
- 11 OctHCorinthians4-1
- 9 OctHBahia1-0
- 20 SeptAGremio0-0
- 16 SeptALDU de Quito2-3
Coritiba- 12 OctHBotafogo1-1
- 9 OctAFluminense0-4
- 20 SeptAVasco DA Gama0-5
- 12 SeptHAtletico Paranaense3-3
- 6 SeptHMirassol1-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Palmeiras vs Coritiba: FAQ
What is the Palmeiras vs Coritiba prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1-0 Coritiba.
Who is the favourite to win Palmeiras vs Coritiba?
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Palmeiras are favourites. Our model gives Palmeiras a 44% chance of winning, Coritiba 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Coritiba?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Palmeiras vs Coritiba kick off?
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Palmeiras vs Coritiba kicks off at 21:00 UTC on Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo.
