Copa del Rey· Round of 128
Numancia
Oviedo28 Oct
Numancia vs Oviedo Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Numancia vs Oviedo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Numancia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Oviedo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XNumancia or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Oviedo or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Numancia to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Oviedo to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Numancia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Oviedo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Numancia vs Oviedo preview & analysis
Match preview
Numancia host Oviedo in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Numancia arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Real Ávila 1-1 away. Oviedo arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Eibar 3-1 at home.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Numancia have won 2, Oviedo have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Numancia narrow favourites: Numancia 37%, draw 31%, Oviedo 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Numancia 1-0 Oviedo.
Recent form
Numancia- 11 OctAReal Ávila1-1
- 4 OctAGetafe II0-0
- 27 SeptHGuadalajara1-0
- 19 SeptASS Reyes0-0
- 13 SeptHA Madrid III2-0
Oviedo- 12 OctHEibar3-1
- 2 OctAEldense1-4
- 27 SeptHSporting Gijon2-0
- 20 SeptASabadell1-3
- 13 SeptAValladolid3-0
Head to head
Numancia vs Oviedo: FAQ
What is the Numancia vs Oviedo prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Numancia 1-0 Oviedo.
Who is the favourite to win Numancia vs Oviedo?
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Numancia are favourites. Our model gives Numancia a 37% chance of winning, Oviedo 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Numancia vs Oviedo?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Numancia vs Oviedo kick off?
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Numancia vs Oviedo kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
