Copa del Rey· Round of 128
Poblense
AD Ceuta FC28 Oct
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Poblense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5AD Ceuta FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XPoblense or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2AD Ceuta FC or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Poblense to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2AD Ceuta FC to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Poblense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AD Ceuta FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Poblense host AD Ceuta FC in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Poblense are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Castellón II 2-1 at home. AD Ceuta FC arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Sabadell 1-2 at home.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Poblense narrow favourites: Poblense 37%, draw 31%, AD Ceuta FC 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Poblense 1-0 AD Ceuta FC.
Recent form
Poblense- 11 OctHCastellón II2-1
- 4 OctAAtlético Baleares1-2
- 27 SeptHValencia II1-0
- 20 SeptAAlcoyano0-2
- 13 SeptHCastellonense1-2
AD Ceuta FC- 10 OctHSabadell1-2
- 4 OctACastellón1-1
- 26 SeptHReal Sociedad II3-1
- 20 SeptHValladolid1-1
- 11 SeptABurgos1-3
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: FAQ
What is the Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Poblense 1-0 AD Ceuta FC.
Who is the favourite to win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
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Poblense are favourites. Our model gives Poblense a 37% chance of winning, AD Ceuta FC 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC kick off?
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Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
