League Two· Regular Season - 14· Rodney Parade
Newport County
Chesterfield30 Oct
Newport County vs Chesterfield Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 30 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Newport County vs Chesterfield tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Chesterfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Chesterfield or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Newport County +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XNewport County or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Chesterfield to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Chesterfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Newport County to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Newport County -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Newport County vs Chesterfield preview & analysis
Match preview
Newport County host Chesterfield in the League Two (Regular Season - 14) at Rodney Parade on Friday, 30 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Newport County arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Colchester 1-0 at home. They're 12th in the table with 13 points from 10 games. Chesterfield arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Crawley Town 2-2 away. They're 7th in the table with 15 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Newport County have won 2, Chesterfield have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chesterfield narrow favourites: Newport County 23%, draw 38%, Chesterfield 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Newport County 0-1 Chesterfield.
Recent form
Newport County- 10 OctHColchester1-0
- 6 OctHPlymouth2-2
- 3 OctAGillingham0-0
- 26 SeptHGrimsby2-1
- 22 SeptASwindon Town2-0
Chesterfield- 10 OctACrawley Town2-2
- 3 OctHTranmere4-2
- 26 SeptACheltenham1-2
- 22 SeptHPort Vale1-1
- 19 SeptHYork2-0
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
Newport County vs Chesterfield: FAQ
What is the Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Newport County 0-1 Chesterfield.
Who is the favourite to win Newport County vs Chesterfield?
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Chesterfield are favourites. Our model gives Newport County a 23% chance of winning, Chesterfield 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Newport County vs Chesterfield?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Newport County vs Chesterfield kick off?
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Newport County vs Chesterfield kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Rodney Parade, Newport.
