Bundesliga· Regular Season - 8· Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
SV Elversberg
FSV Mainz 0530 Oct
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 30 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
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More SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FSV Mainz 05 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2FSV Mainz 05 or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5SV Elversberg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XSV Elversberg or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2FSV Mainz 05 to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FSV Mainz 05 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1SV Elversberg to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5SV Elversberg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 preview & analysis
Match preview
SV Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde on Friday, 30 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
SV Elversberg are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Union Berlin 0-1 away. They're 9th in the table with 7 points from 5 games. FSV Mainz 05 arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 3-4 at home. They're 8th in the table with 7 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, SV Elversberg have won 0, FSV Mainz 05 have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FSV Mainz 05 narrow favourites: SV Elversberg 23%, draw 38%, FSV Mainz 05 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is SV Elversberg 1-2 FSV Mainz 05.
Recent form
SV Elversberg- 10 OctAUnion Berlin0-1
- 24 SeptAWaldhof Mannheim1-2
- 20 SeptAFC Schalke 040-0
- 13 SeptHBayern München1-2
- 5 SeptABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3
FSV Mainz 05- 10 OctHBayer Leverkusen3-4
- 3 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0
- 19 SeptABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3
- 12 SeptHEintracht Frankfurt1-3
- 6 SeptAHamburger SV5-0
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: FAQ
What is the SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is SV Elversberg 1-2 FSV Mainz 05.
Who is the favourite to win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
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FSV Mainz 05 are favourites. Our model gives SV Elversberg a 23% chance of winning, FSV Mainz 05 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
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SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.
