Ligue 1· Regular Season - 9· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille
Lens30 Oct
Lille vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 30 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.6 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lille vs Lens tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XLille or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Lens +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| X2Lens or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Lille to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2Lens to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lens -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.24 | - |
Lille vs Lens preview & analysis
Match preview
Lille host Lens in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Friday, 30 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:05 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lille arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Arsenal 0-3 away. They're 2nd in the table with 13 points from 6 games. Lens arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Sporting CP 0-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 7 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lille have won 4, Lens have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lille narrow favourites: Lille 44%, draw 38%, Lens 18%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Lille 1-0 Lens.
Recent form
Lille- 13 OctAArsenal0-3
- 10 OctHLe Havre1-0
- 2 OctHZulte Waregem2-1
- 20 SeptANice1-2
- 13 SeptHEstac Troyes2-0
Lens- 13 OctHSporting CP0-2
- 9 OctHLyon2-1
- 2 OctAStandard Liege2-0
- 18 SeptAMonaco1-2
- 13 SeptALe Mans2-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Lille vs Lens: FAQ
What is the Lille vs Lens prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Lille 1-0 Lens.
Who is the favourite to win Lille vs Lens?
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Lille are favourites. Our model gives Lille a 44% chance of winning, Lens 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lille vs Lens?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Lille vs Lens kick off?
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Lille vs Lens kicks off at 20:05 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille.
