Ligue 1· Regular Season - 9· Stade Océane
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain30 Oct
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 30 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
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More Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Paris Saint Germain or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Le Havre +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XLe Havre or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Paris Saint Germain to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Le Havre to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Le Havre -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain preview & analysis
Match preview
Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Océane on Friday, 30 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Le Havre are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Lille 0-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 2 points from 6 games. Paris Saint Germain arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Manchester City 4-2 away. They're 6th in the table with 11 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Le Havre have won 0, Paris Saint Germain have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain narrow favourites: Le Havre 23%, draw 38%, Paris Saint Germain 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain.
Recent form
Le Havre- 10 OctALille0-1
- 2 OctHBoulogne6-1
- 19 SeptAToulouse2-3
- 12 SeptHAngers0-0
- 5 SeptHStade Brestois 291-2
Paris Saint Germain- 14 OctAManchester City4-2
- 10 OctHLe Mans3-1
- 20 SeptAMarseille2-1
- 13 SeptAStade Brestois 291-0
- 9 SeptHSlovan Bratislava6-1
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: FAQ
What is the Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain.
Who is the favourite to win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
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Paris Saint Germain are favourites. Our model gives Le Havre a 23% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?
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Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Stade Océane, Le Havre.
