Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 9· King Khalid Sport City Stadium
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq17 Oct
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.69
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Expert analysis
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq: Both teams to score leads the way
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
NEOM's strong scoring run and Al-Ettifaq's habit of finding the net make Both teams to score the most likely outcome. The best odds are 1.57, with the main risk being Al-Ettifaq's recent low-scoring draws.
Form & context
NEOM arrive in better form, while Al-Ettifaq are drawing plenty.
- NEOM are 5th with 16 points from 8; Al-Ettifaq are 7th with 12 points from 8.
- NEOM's last five: 4W 1D 0L, scored 14 and conceded 3, with over 2.5 in 3 and BTTS in 2.
- Al-Ettifaq's last five: 2W 3D 0L, scored 7 and conceded 4, with over 2.5 in 1 and BTTS in 2.
- The head-to-heads both stayed low: 1-1 and 0-0.
Team news
With two days to kick-off, team news is still provisional and no official line-ups are out.
- NEOM assistant coach Terry Oleksiak confirmed on 15 October that midfielders Alaa Al-Hajji and Amadou Koné are unavailable through injury, according to Asharq Al-Awsat.
- Oleksiak named Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari as one possible midfield replacement, but starting roles are not confirmed.
- Al-Ettifaq forward Ryan Messi is expected to miss out with a medial ligament strain and an absence of around 10 days, Goal reports.
- Messi's absence is the clearest confirmed personnel change; other selection calls remain unconfirmed.
Key matchup
The likely pattern is NEOM pushing at home and Al-Ettifaq needing to offer a threat.
- NEOM's expected goals figure is 1.97, while Al-Ettifaq's is 1.06.
- The model makes Both teams to score a 59% chance and over 2.5 a 58% chance.
- The most likely score is 2-1, which fits the Both teams to score angle.
- Al-Ettifaq's three draws in their last five included a 0-0, so their scoring consistency is the main question.
The numbers
This is a strong-probability pick rather than a big-value price.
- Both teams to score is priced at 1.57, with a 59% model probability and 1.69 fair odds.
- NEOM sit 5th and are unbeaten in five, but their BTTS count is 2 from those five.
- Al-Ettifaq are also BTTS in 2 of five, with 7 scored and 4 conceded.
- The model's 2-1 most likely score gives both sides a route to goal.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1NEOM's attack has produced 14 goals in five games, so the home side should score.
- 2Al-Ettifaq have scored in patches and the model gives them a 1.06 expected goals figure, enough to threaten.
- 3Both teams to score is the model's 59% call, making it the most likely outcome despite shorter odds.
Verdict
The recommendation is Both teams to score at 1.57. The main risk is Al-Ettifaq's recent habit of low-scoring draws, which could leave one side blank.
Sources
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5NEOM +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| 1XNEOM or Draw | 78% | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| AH2 +1.5Al-Ettifaq +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.53 | 1.31 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.61 |
| X2Al-Ettifaq or Draw | 50% | 1.99 | 1.91 |
| 1NEOM to win | 50% | 2.01 | 1.88 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 | 2.22 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.44 | 2.27 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 | 2.41 |
| AH1 -1.5NEOM -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.87 | 2.92 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.59 | 3.85 |
| 2Al-Ettifaq to win | 22% | 4.46 | 3.85 |
| AH2 -1.5Al-Ettifaq -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.86 | 7.40 |
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 3.60 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.82 | 3.82 | 1.61 | 2.22 | 1.55 | 2.27 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 3.85 | 3.85 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.65 | 3.66 | 1.58 | 2.18 | 1.55 | 2.23 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.90 | 3.84 | 1.61 | 2.27 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.79 | 3.26 | 3.32 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.85 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
Recent form
NEOM- 13 OctHAl Sha'ab Hadhramaut4-0
- 10 OctAAl-Hazm1-1
- 13 SeptHAl-Fateh4-2
- 7 SeptAAl-Hilal Saudi FC2-0
- 3 SeptHAl Khaleej Saihat3-0
Al-Ettifaq- 14 OctHKazma2-0
- 10 OctHAl Khaleej Saihat1-1
- 11 SeptAAl-Qadisiyah FC3-3
- 8 SeptHAl-Faisaly FC0-0
- 4 SeptAAbha1-0
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq: FAQ
What is the NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.57. Our predicted score is NEOM 2-1 Al-Ettifaq.
Who is the favourite to win NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
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NEOM are favourites. Our model gives NEOM a 50% chance of winning, Al-Ettifaq 22%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq kick off?
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NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq kicks off at 15:40 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabuk.
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