Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 9· Al-Awwal Park
Al Diriyah
Al Taawon17 Oct
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.0
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Votes: 0Expert analysis
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon: Both Teams to Score is the Call at 1.62
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Al Diriyah host a struggling Al Taawon side that has shipped 12 goals in five league games while sitting 17th of 18. Both teams to score is the most likely outcome here, and that is exactly where the value sits.
Form & Context
Al Diriyah arrive mid-table and reasonably settled, while Al Taawon are second from bottom and leaking badly.
- Al Diriyah's last five: 2W 1D 2L, scored 5, conceded 6, with over 2.5 landing in 3 of them
- Al Taawon's last five: 1W 1D 3L, scored 3, conceded 12
- The table separates them clearly: Al Diriyah 9th of 18 with 11 points from 8, Al Taawon 17th of 18 with 3 from 8
- Al Taawon did win 2-1 against Al-Rayyan in AFC Champions League Two on 14 October, so they are not arriving entirely flat
Team News
With two days until kickoff, team news is still provisional, so treat availability as a developing picture rather than a settled one.
- Al-Taawoun confirmed Bassem Al-Arini suffered a medial collateral ligament injury in his right knee, with a four to six week recovery window that overlaps this fixture; no return has been confirmed
- Al-Taawoun also reported that Saif Rajab needed surgery after a shoulder injury in training, with no return date given
- Their 15 October training report did not confirm individual availability, and Abderrazak Hamdallah's absence status remains unconfirmed
- No Al Diriyah injury or suspension specific to this fixture was found, and no official matchday squads have been published
Key Matchup
The game hinges on whether Al Taawon's defence can hold up against a home side that creates decent chances.
- Al Taawon have conceded 12 goals in five league games, including a 0-6 home defeat to Al-Hilal
- Al Diriyah have scored in three of their last five, though they were well beaten 0-3 away at Al-Nassr
- Al Taawon face a three-day turnaround after playing on 14 October
- Al Diriyah's most recent confirmed league shape was a 4-2-3-1, for context only rather than any line-up call
The Numbers
The model leans toward goals at both ends rather than a clean outcome either way.
- Expected goals read 1.74 for Al Diriyah and 1.10 for Al Taawon
- Both teams to score is rated at 57%, with over 2.5 at 54%
- The single most likely scoreline is a tight 1-0, which is the honest counterweight to this pick
- At 1.62, this is a strong-probability play rather than a big-value price
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Al Taawon have conceded 12 goals in five league games, so Al Diriyah should get on the scoresheet at home.
- 2Al Taawon carry attacking threat of their own and Al Diriyah have conceded in four of their last five.
- 3Both teams to score is rated at 57%, making it the most probable outcome in this fixture.
Verdict
Both teams to score is the pick, available at best odds of 1.62. The main risk is that Al Taawon's away scoring record is thin and they could blank again, which is why this is a probability play rather than a banker.
Sources
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Al Diriyah +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| 1XAl Diriyah or Draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| AH2 +1.5Al Taawon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.51 | 1.30 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| X2Al Taawon or Draw | 50% | 1.99 | 1.89 |
| 1Al Diriyah to win | 50% | 2.01 | 1.83 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | 2.08 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.31 | 2.15 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | 2.62 |
| AH1 -1.5Al Diriyah -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.95 | 2.97 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.53 | 3.76 |
| 2Al Taawon to win | 22% | 4.57 | 3.88 |
| AH2 -1.5Al Taawon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.58 | 7.80 |
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.60 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.76 | 3.88 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.14 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.72 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.62 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82 | 3.82 | 4.06 | 1.71 | 2.13 | - | - |
Recent form
Al Diriyah- 9 OctAAl-Nassr0-3
- 13 SeptHAbha0-0
- 9 SeptAAl-Fateh2-1
- 3 SeptHAl-Qadisiyah FC0-2
- 29 AugAAl-Ettifaq3-0
Al Taawon- 14 OctHAl-Rayyan SC2-1
- 11 OctAAl Shabab0-3
- 16 SeptAAl-Nahda1-1
- 12 SeptHAl-Hilal Saudi FC0-6
- 8 SeptAAl-Hazm0-1
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 2 |
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon: FAQ
What is the Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.62. Our predicted score is Al Diriyah 1-0 Al Taawon.
Who is the favourite to win Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
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Al Diriyah are favourites. Our model gives Al Diriyah a 50% chance of winning, Al Taawon 22%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon kick off?
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Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh.
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