Nations League· League C - 5
Montenegro
Latvia12 Nov
Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 12 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
2.1 - 0.6
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Match probabilities
More Montenegro vs Latvia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Montenegro +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XMontenegro or Draw | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| 1Montenegro to win | 67% | 1.49 | 1.31 |
| AH2 +1.5Latvia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 52% | 1.92 | 1.66 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| AH1 -1.5Montenegro -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 48% | 2.09 | 2.03 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.35 | 2.15 |
| X2Latvia or Draw | 33% | 3.05 | 2.99 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.46 | 3.17 |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.20 | 4.79 |
| 2Latvia to win | 9% | 11.18 | 8.75 |
| AH2 -1.5Latvia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.81 | - |
Montenegro vs Latvia odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 4.79 | 8.75 | 1.86 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.59 |
Montenegro vs Latvia preview & analysis
Match preview
Montenegro host Latvia in the Nations League (League C - 5) on Thursday, 12 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Montenegro arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Armenia 0-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 10 points from 4 games. Latvia are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Cyprus 1-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 1 point from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Montenegro have won 2, Latvia have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Montenegro clear favourites: Montenegro 67%, draw 24%, Latvia 9%. We expect around 2.7 goals (2.1 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Our tip
At least one of these sides should struggle to score, so we're backing BTTS No. Our pick is Both teams NOT to score at 1.59, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Montenegro 2-0 Latvia.
Recent form
Montenegro- 5 OctHArmenia0-0
- 2 OctALatvia2-1
- 28 SeptAArmenia3-2
- 25 SeptHCyprus2-1
- 5 JunASlovakia2-2
Latvia- 5 OctACyprus1-2
- 2 OctHMontenegro1-2
- 28 SeptHCyprus0-0
- 25 SeptAArmenia0-2
- 9 JunHFaroe Islands0-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Montenegro vs Latvia: FAQ
What is the Montenegro vs Latvia prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score at odds of 1.59. Our predicted score is Montenegro 2-0 Latvia.
Who is the favourite to win Montenegro vs Latvia?
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Montenegro are favourites. Our model gives Montenegro a 67% chance of winning, Latvia 9%, and the draw 24%.
Will both teams score in Montenegro vs Latvia?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Montenegro vs Latvia kick off?
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Montenegro vs Latvia kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 12 November 2026.
