Conference League· League Stage - 2· Stade Louis II
Monaco
SC Freiburg22 Oct
Monaco vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Monaco vs SC Freiburg tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5SC Freiburg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2SC Freiburg or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Monaco +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XMonaco or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2SC Freiburg to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5SC Freiburg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Monaco to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Monaco -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Monaco vs SC Freiburg preview & analysis
Match preview
Monaco host SC Freiburg in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at Stade Louis II on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monaco arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat CSKA Sofia 2-1 away. They're 9th in the table with 3 points from 1 game. SC Freiburg arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat FK Jablonec 3-2 at home. They're 7th in the table with 3 points from 1 game.
What the numbers say
Our model makes SC Freiburg narrow favourites: Monaco 23%, draw 38%, SC Freiburg 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Monaco 1-2 SC Freiburg.
Recent form
Monaco- 15 OctACSKA Sofia2-1
- 10 OctHToulouse2-2
- 3 OctHPisa2-0
- 18 SeptHLens2-1
- 12 SeptAStrasbourg1-1
SC Freiburg- 15 OctHFK Jablonec3-2
- 11 OctHFC Schalke 042-1
- 3 OctHFC Luzern4-2
- 19 SeptAEintracht Frankfurt2-2
- 12 SeptHBorussia Mönchengladbach5-0
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Mjallby AIF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |  St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  FC Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: FAQ
What is the Monaco vs SC Freiburg prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Monaco 1-2 SC Freiburg.
Who is the favourite to win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
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SC Freiburg are favourites. Our model gives Monaco a 23% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Monaco vs SC Freiburg kick off?
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Monaco vs SC Freiburg kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.
