J1 League· Regular Season - 17· Best Denki Stadium
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki29 Nov
Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5V-varen Nagasaki +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| X2V-varen Nagasaki or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Mito Hollyhock +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| 1XMito Hollyhock or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.23 | - |
| 2V-varen Nagasaki to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH2 -1.5V-varen Nagasaki -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.82 | - |
| 1Mito Hollyhock to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Mito Hollyhock -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.66 | - |
Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki preview & analysis
Match preview
Mito Hollyhock host V-varen Nagasaki in the J1 League (Regular Season - 17) at Best Denki Stadium on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 05:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Mito Hollyhock are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat FC Tokyo 1-0 at home. They're 13th in the table with 9 points from 9 games. V-varen Nagasaki arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with JEF United Chiba 1-1 away. They're 14th in the table with 9 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Mito Hollyhock have won 2, V-varen Nagasaki have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes V-varen Nagasaki narrow favourites: Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 38%, V-varen Nagasaki 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Mito Hollyhock 0-1 V-varen Nagasaki.
Recent form
Mito Hollyhock- 14 OctHFC Tokyo1-0
- 11 OctHShimizu S-pulse1-2
- 29 SeptAFukushima United7-0
- 19 SeptAYokohama F. Marinos0-2
- 12 SeptHKawasaki Frontale0-1
V-varen Nagasaki- 11 OctAJEF United Chiba1-1
- 7 OctAShimizu S-pulse1-2
- 29 SeptAGainare Tottori0-2
- 19 SeptHCerezo Osaka1-1
- 12 SeptHNagoya Grampus2-0
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki: FAQ
What is the Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 0-1 V-varen Nagasaki.
Who is the favourite to win Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki?
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V-varen Nagasaki are favourites. Our model gives Mito Hollyhock a 23% chance of winning, V-varen Nagasaki 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki kick off?
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Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki kicks off at 05:00 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Best Denki Stadium, Mito.
