Premier League· Regular Season - 12· Amex Stadium
Brighton
Newcastle29 Nov
Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.4 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Brighton vs Newcastle tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Brighton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBrighton or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Newcastle +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Newcastle or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Brighton to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Brighton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Newcastle to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Newcastle -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Brighton vs Newcastle preview & analysis
Match preview
Brighton host Newcastle in the Premier League (Regular Season - 12) at Amex Stadium on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:05 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Brighton arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Kauno Žalgiris 4-0 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 13 points from 6 games. Newcastle arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Coventry 1-4 away. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Brighton have won 3, Newcastle have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Brighton narrow favourites: Brighton 44%, draw 38%, Newcastle 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Brighton 2-1 Newcastle.
Recent form
Brighton- 15 OctHKauno Žalgiris4-0
- 10 OctASunderland2-0
- 19 SeptHArsenal3-0
- 16 SeptAManchester United3-2
- 13 SeptACoventry5-0
Newcastle- 12 OctACoventry1-4
- 19 SeptHHull City2-1
- 14 SeptALeeds1-4
- 8 SeptAMillwall1-0
- 5 SeptHBournemouth2-2
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Brighton vs Newcastle: FAQ
What is the Brighton vs Newcastle prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Brighton 2-1 Newcastle.
Who is the favourite to win Brighton vs Newcastle?
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Brighton are favourites. Our model gives Brighton a 44% chance of winning, Newcastle 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Brighton vs Newcastle?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Brighton vs Newcastle kick off?
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Brighton vs Newcastle kicks off at 14:05 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Amex Stadium, Brighton.
