Ligue 1· Regular Season - 12· Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Auxerre
Marseille29 Nov
Auxerre vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Auxerre vs Marseille tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Auxerre +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| 1XAuxerre or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| X2Marseille or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.50 | - |
| 1Auxerre to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Marseille to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Auxerre -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.84 | - |
Auxerre vs Marseille preview & analysis
Match preview
Auxerre host Marseille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 12) at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Auxerre arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Rennes 1-4 away. They're 16th in the table with 6 points from 6 games. Marseille are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Auxerre have won 2, Marseille have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Auxerre narrow favourites: Auxerre 38%, draw 32%, Marseille 30%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Auxerre 2-1 Marseille.
Recent form
Auxerre- 11 OctARennes1-4
- 2 OctHClermont Foot4-3
- 20 SeptHStade Brestois 292-1
- 12 SeptHNice1-0
- 4 SeptALyon1-3
Marseille- 15 OctHOlympiakos Piraeus0-1
- 11 OctAEstac Troyes2-0
- 20 SeptHParis Saint Germain1-2
- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Auxerre vs Marseille: FAQ
What is the Auxerre vs Marseille prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Auxerre 2-1 Marseille.
Who is the favourite to win Auxerre vs Marseille?
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Auxerre are favourites. Our model gives Auxerre a 38% chance of winning, Marseille 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Auxerre vs Marseille?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Auxerre vs Marseille kick off?
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Auxerre vs Marseille kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre.
