J1 League· Regular Season - 17· Machida GION Stadium
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy29 Nov
Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Machida Zelvia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMachida Zelvia or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Tokyo Verdy +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Tokyo Verdy or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Machida Zelvia to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Machida Zelvia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Tokyo Verdy to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Tokyo Verdy -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy preview & analysis
Match preview
Machida Zelvia host Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League (Regular Season - 17) at Machida GION Stadium on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 07:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Machida Zelvia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Tampines Rovers 1-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Tokyo Verdy are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 at home. They're 20th in the table with 4 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Machida Zelvia have won 3, Tokyo Verdy have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Machida Zelvia narrow favourites: Machida Zelvia 44%, draw 38%, Tokyo Verdy 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Machida Zelvia 1-0 Tokyo Verdy.
Recent form
Machida Zelvia- 15 OctATampines Rovers1-0
- 10 OctAKyoto Sanga1-0
- 3 OctHKyoto Sanga0-0
- 23 SeptHTochigi City2-1
- 20 SeptHKashiwa Reysol2-4
Tokyo Verdy- 11 OctHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-2
- 7 OctAGainare Tottori0-0
- 29 SeptASagan Tosu1-2
- 19 SeptAUrawa1-3
- 13 SeptHJEF United Chiba1-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy: FAQ
What is the Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1-0 Tokyo Verdy.
Who is the favourite to win Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy?
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Machida Zelvia are favourites. Our model gives Machida Zelvia a 44% chance of winning, Tokyo Verdy 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy kick off?
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Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy kicks off at 07:00 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Machida GION Stadium, Machida.
