Ligue 2· Regular Season - 11· Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz
PAU30 Oct
Metz vs PAU Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 30 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Metz vs PAU tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5PAU +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2PAU or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Metz +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XMetz or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2PAU to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5PAU -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.45 | - |
| 1Metz to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Metz -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.94 | - |
Metz vs PAU preview & analysis
Match preview
Metz host PAU in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 11) at Stade Saint-Symphorien on Friday, 30 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Metz arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Dijon 2-4 away. They're 10th in the table with 10 points from 8 games. PAU arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Laval 3-2 at home. They're 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Metz have won 1, PAU have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes PAU narrow favourites: Metz 23%, draw 38%, PAU 39%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Metz 1-2 PAU.
Recent form
Metz- 12 OctADijon2-4
- 19 SeptHSaint Etienne2-2
- 14 SeptARED Star FC 930-1
- 5 SeptHRodez4-1
- 29 AugAAnnecy1-1
PAU- 9 OctHLaval3-2
- 3 OctAToulouse3-2
- 18 SeptHDunkerque2-0
- 11 SeptAMontpellier0-1
- 4 SeptHSochaux1-1
Head to head
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 |  RED Star FC 93 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 |  Reims | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 |  Nancy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Annecy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Dijon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Grenoble | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Laval | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Metz vs PAU: FAQ
What is the Metz vs PAU prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Metz 1-2 PAU.
Who is the favourite to win Metz vs PAU?
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PAU are favourites. Our model gives Metz a 23% chance of winning, PAU 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Metz vs PAU?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Metz vs PAU kick off?
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Metz vs PAU kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz.
