Ligue 1· Regular Season - 5· Orange Vélodrome
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain1-2
FT
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Paris Saint Germain or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XMarseille or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Paris Saint Germain to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Marseille to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain preview & analysis
Match preview
Marseille host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 5) at Orange Vélodrome on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Marseille are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Beşiktaş 1-4 away. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games. Paris Saint Germain arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Stade Brestois 29 1-0 away. They're 6th in the table with 11 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Marseille have won 1, Paris Saint Germain have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain narrow favourites: Marseille 23%, draw 38%, Paris Saint Germain 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Marseille- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
- 6 SeptHParis FC2-3
- 30 AugAMonaco0-2
Paris Saint Germain- 13 SeptAStade Brestois 291-0
- 9 SeptHSlovan Bratislava6-1
- 4 SeptHMonaco1-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
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Paris Saint Germain are favourites. Our model gives Marseille a 23% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?
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Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
