EFL Cup· Round of 32· Old Trafford
Manchester United
Brighton2-3
FT
Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Manchester United vs Brighton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Brighton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Brighton or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Manchester United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XManchester United or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Brighton to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Brighton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Manchester United to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Manchester United vs Brighton preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester United host Brighton in the EFL Cup (Round of 32) at Old Trafford on Wednesday, 16 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Manchester United arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Most recently they lost to Manchester City 0-1 at home. Brighton arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Coventry 5-0 away.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester United have won 3, Brighton have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Brighton narrow favourites: Manchester United 23%, draw 38%, Brighton 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Manchester United- 13 SeptHManchester City0-1
- 10 SeptHSabah FA4-0
Brighton- 13 SeptACoventry5-0
- 5 SeptHLeeds1-1
- 30 AugAChelsea3-4
Head to head
Manchester United vs Brighton: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Manchester United vs Brighton?
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Brighton are favourites. Our model gives Manchester United a 23% chance of winning, Brighton 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Brighton?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Manchester United vs Brighton kick off?
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Manchester United vs Brighton kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at Old Trafford, Manchester.
