EFL Cup· Round of 32· Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry
Aston Villa1-3
FT
Coventry vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Coventry vs Aston Villa tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Coventry +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| 1XCoventry or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Aston Villa or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Coventry to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Aston Villa to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 28% | 3.60 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Coventry -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.17 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.41 | - |
Coventry vs Aston Villa preview & analysis
Match preview
Coventry host Aston Villa in the EFL Cup (Round of 32) at Coventry Building Society Arena on Wednesday, 16 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Coventry are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Brighton 0-5 at home. Aston Villa arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 1 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 2. Most recently they lost to Nottingham Forest 1-2 at home.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Coventry narrow favourites: Coventry 37%, draw 31%, Aston Villa 32%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.0 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 72% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Coventry- 13 SeptHBrighton0-5
- 5 SeptAManchester City0-1
- 29 AugHHull City0-1
Aston Villa- 12 SeptHNottingham Forest1-2
Coventry vs Aston Villa: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Coventry vs Aston Villa?
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Coventry are favourites. Our model gives Coventry a 37% chance of winning, Aston Villa 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Coventry vs Aston Villa?
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We rate both teams to score at 72%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Coventry vs Aston Villa kick off?
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Coventry vs Aston Villa kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry.
