Europa League· League Stage - 3
Lillestrom
Real Sociedad22 Oct
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.6 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lillestrom +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XLillestrom or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Real Sociedad +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| X2Real Sociedad or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Lillestrom to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lillestrom -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2Real Sociedad to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Real Sociedad -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.24 | - |
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad preview & analysis
Match preview
Lillestrom host Real Sociedad in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lillestrom arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Sparta Praha 1-1 away. They're 24th in the table with 0 points from 1 game. Real Sociedad arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Union St. Gilloise 1-1 away. They're 22nd in the table with 0 points from 1 game.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lillestrom narrow favourites: Lillestrom 44%, draw 38%, Real Sociedad 18%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Lillestrom 1-0 Real Sociedad.
Recent form
Lillestrom- 15 OctASparta Praha1-1
- 11 OctHMolde2-2
- 1 OctABærum5-1
- 20 SeptAViking0-3
- 17 SeptHTorreense1-2
Real Sociedad- 15 OctAUnion St. Gilloise1-1
- 11 OctHDeportivo La Coruna3-2
- 2 OctHAthletic Club0-1
- 20 SeptAValencia3-2
- 17 SeptHBournemouth1-2
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 20 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad: FAQ
What is the Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1-0 Real Sociedad.
Who is the favourite to win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
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Lillestrom are favourites. Our model gives Lillestrom a 44% chance of winning, Real Sociedad 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad kick off?
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Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026.
