La Liga 2· Regular Season - 14· Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes
Burgos15 Nov
Leganes vs Burgos Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 15 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.6
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Leganes vs Burgos tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Burgos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Burgos or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Leganes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XLeganes or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| 2Burgos to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burgos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.94 | - |
| 1Leganes to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Leganes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.88 | - |
Leganes vs Burgos preview & analysis
Match preview
Leganes host Burgos in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 14) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque on Sunday, 15 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Leganes are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Cordoba 0-1 at home. They're 17th in the table with 11 points from 10 games. Burgos arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Granada CF 0-1 at home. They're 8th in the table with 14 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Leganes have won 2, Burgos have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Burgos narrow favourites: Leganes 23%, draw 38%, Burgos 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Leganes 0-1 Burgos.
Recent form
Leganes- 16 OctHCordoba0-1
- 11 OctAAlmeria0-3
- 3 OctACadiz0-4
- 28 SeptHCastellón0-2
- 20 SeptHGranada CF3-2
Burgos- 12 OctHGranada CF0-1
- 3 OctAAlmeria1-2
- 27 SeptHEldense1-0
- 20 SeptALas Palmas2-1
- 11 SeptHAD Ceuta FC3-1
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
Leganes vs Burgos: FAQ
What is the Leganes vs Burgos prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Leganes 0-1 Burgos.
Who is the favourite to win Leganes vs Burgos?
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Burgos are favourites. Our model gives Leganes a 23% chance of winning, Burgos 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Leganes vs Burgos?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Leganes vs Burgos kick off?
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Leganes vs Burgos kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 15 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes.
