Nations League· League A - 6
Belgium
Italy15 Nov
Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 15 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Belgium vs Italy tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Italy +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Italy or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Belgium +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XBelgium or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| 2Italy to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Italy -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.58 | - |
| 1Belgium to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Belgium -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.18 | - |
Belgium vs Italy preview & analysis
Match preview
Belgium host Italy in the Nations League (League A - 6) on Sunday, 15 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Belgium are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to France 1-4 away. They're 3rd in the table with 6 points from 4 games. Italy arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Türkiye 3-1 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 7 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Belgium have won 1, Italy have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Italy narrow favourites: Belgium 23%, draw 38%, Italy 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 59% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Belgium 1-2 Italy.
Recent form
Belgium- 5 OctAFrance1-4
- 2 OctHTürkiye3-0
- 28 SeptHFrance0-1
- 25 SeptAItaly2-0
- 10 JulASpain1-2
Italy- 5 OctHTürkiye3-1
- 2 OctAFrance1-1
- 28 SeptATürkiye4-1
- 25 SeptHBelgium0-2
- 7 JunAGreece1-0
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Belgium vs Italy: FAQ
What is the Belgium vs Italy prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Belgium 1-2 Italy.
Who is the favourite to win Belgium vs Italy?
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Italy are favourites. Our model gives Belgium a 23% chance of winning, Italy 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Belgium vs Italy?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Belgium vs Italy kick off?
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Belgium vs Italy kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 15 November 2026.
