Nations League· League A - 6
France
Türkiye15 Nov
France vs Türkiye Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 15 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More France vs Türkiye tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5France +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XFrance or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Türkiye +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Türkiye or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1France to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5France -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Türkiye to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Türkiye -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
France vs Türkiye preview & analysis
Match preview
France host Türkiye in the Nations League (League A - 6) on Sunday, 15 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
France arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Belgium 4-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 10 points from 4 games. Türkiye are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Most recently they lost to Italy 1-3 away. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, France have won 1, Türkiye have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes France narrow favourites: France 44%, draw 38%, Türkiye 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is France 1-0 Türkiye.
Recent form
France- 5 OctHBelgium4-1
- 2 OctHItaly1-1
- 28 SeptABelgium1-0
- 25 SeptATürkiye1-0
- 18 JulHEngland4-6
Türkiye- 5 OctAItaly1-3
- 2 OctABelgium0-3
- 28 SeptHItaly1-4
- 25 SeptHFrance0-1
- 26 JunHUSA3-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
France vs Türkiye: FAQ
What is the France vs Türkiye prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is France 1-0 Türkiye.
Who is the favourite to win France vs Türkiye?
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France are favourites. Our model gives France a 44% chance of winning, Türkiye 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in France vs Türkiye?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does France vs Türkiye kick off?
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France vs Türkiye kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 15 November 2026.
