Nations League· League C - 6
Finland
San Marino15 Nov
Finland vs San Marino Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 15 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
2.4 - 1.1
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Fan vote
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Finland vs San Marino tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Finland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XFinland or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| AH2 +1.5San Marino +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.82 | - |
| X2San Marino or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Finland to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Finland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.22 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.21 | - |
| 2San Marino to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5San Marino -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 18.04 | - |
Finland vs San Marino preview & analysis
Match preview
Finland host San Marino in the Nations League (League C - 6) on Sunday, 15 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Finland arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Belarus 0-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 7 points from 4 games. San Marino are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 18. Most recently they lost to Albania 1-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Finland have won 3, San Marino have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 5.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Finland favourites: Finland 47%, draw 41%, San Marino 12%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.4 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 69% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 69% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Finland 2-1 San Marino.
Recent form
Finland- 6 OctABelarus0-1
- 3 OctHAlbania2-1
- 29 SeptHBelarus0-0
- 26 SeptASan Marino7-0
- 5 JunAHungary1-2
San Marino- 6 OctAAlbania1-2
- 3 OctABelarus0-4
- 29 SeptHAlbania0-3
- 26 SeptHFinland0-7
- 9 JunAAzerbaijan1-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
Finland vs San Marino: FAQ
What is the Finland vs San Marino prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Finland 2-1 San Marino.
Who is the favourite to win Finland vs San Marino?
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Finland are favourites. Our model gives Finland a 47% chance of winning, San Marino 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Finland vs San Marino?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Finland vs San Marino kick off?
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Finland vs San Marino kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 15 November 2026.
