Super Lig· Regular Season - 8
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor18 Oct
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Kasımpaşa or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
More Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Kasımpaşa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| AH2 +1.5Samsunspor +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| X2Samsunspor or Draw | 62% | 1.62 | 1.52 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 | 1.86 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | 2.03 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.15 | 2.00 |
| 1Kasımpaşa to win | 38% | 2.61 | 2.65 |
| 2Samsunspor to win | 31% | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.28 | 3.48 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.61 | 3.20 |
| AH1 -1.5Kasımpaşa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 5.11 | 4.90 |
| AH2 -1.5Samsunspor -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.48 | 5.10 |
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.60 | - | - | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.48 | 2.73 | 2.03 | 1.86 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.60 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.34 | 2.62 | 1.95 | 1.79 | 1.73 | 1.97 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.91 | 1.80 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.90 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 3.54 | 2.73 | 2.01 | 1.83 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.39 | 3.00 | 2.51 | 1.99 | 1.83 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.62 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor preview & analysis
Match preview
Kasımpaşa host Samsunspor in the Super Lig (Regular Season - 8) on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 10:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Kasımpaşa arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Galatasaray 1-3 away. They're 9th in the table with 10 points from 7 games. Samsunspor are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Trabzonspor 0-3 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 7 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Kasımpaşa have won 3, Samsunspor have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kasımpaşa narrow favourites: Kasımpaşa 38%, draw 30%, Samsunspor 31%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Kasımpaşa should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw for extra safety. Our pick is Kasımpaşa or Draw at 1.49, which our model rates at a 69% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Kasımpaşa 1-0 Samsunspor.
Recent form
Kasımpaşa- 9 OctAGalatasaray1-3
- 3 OctHFatih Karagümrük2-1
- 18 SeptHKonyaspor0-0
- 13 SeptAGençlerbirliği S.K.2-1
- 6 SeptHAmed2-2
Samsunspor- 10 OctHTrabzonspor0-3
- 20 SeptAErzurumspor FK0-1
- 12 SeptHÇorum FK1-5
- 6 SeptAKocaelispor0-1
- 30 AugHFenerbahçe0-2
Head to head
Super Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 |  Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 |  Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -18 | 3 |
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: FAQ
What is the Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor prediction?
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Our tip is Kasımpaşa or Draw at odds of 1.49. Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 1-0 Samsunspor.
Who is the favourite to win Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
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Kasımpaşa are favourites. Our model gives Kasımpaşa a 38% chance of winning, Samsunspor 31%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor kick off?
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Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor kicks off at 10:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026.
