Super Lig· Regular Season - 8· Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK18 Oct
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
2.1 - 0.9
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Expert analysis
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK: Goals Look the Most Likely Outcome
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Two mid-table sides with leaky defences meet in Istanbul, and the numbers make Over 2.5 goals the standout outcome at 59%. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.64.
Form and Context
Both clubs arrive level on points and with similar defensive records.
- Başakşehir: 5 games, 1W 2D 2L, scored 7, conceded 9, over 2.5 in 3, BTTS in 2.
- Gaziantep FK: 5 games, 1W 1D 3L, scored 5, conceded 9, over 2.5 in 3, BTTS in 2.
- The table has them 11th and 12th of 18, each with 8 points from 7.
- According to Sports Mole, Başakşehir have won the previous three meetings, scoring nine and conceding three.
- Gaziantep's last two league matches ended without them scoring, per the club's official match reports.
Team News
With two days until kick-off, availability is provisional and no line-ups are confirmed.
- Başakşehir list Edin Višća as questionable; Sports Mole reports he is nearing fitness after missing much of the season.
- Gaziantep have Fuat Bavuk (hamstring) and Nazım Sangaré (back) listed as missing the fixture.
- Sports Mole's preview also flags Ali Kalın as a doubt, though no official club confirmation of a full list was available.
- Treat all of this as reported information rather than a final team sheet.
Key Matchup
The home attack meets a defence that has conceded freely all season.
- Expected goals point one way: Başakşehir 2.12, Gaziantep 0.93.
- Gaziantep have conceded nine in five and have not scored in their last two league games.
- Başakşehir beat Gençlerbirliği 4-0 at home before a 0-0 draw at Konyaspor.
- Sports Mole notes Başakşehir have taken seven of their eight league points at home.
The Numbers
Goals are the single most likely outcome according to the model.
- Over 2.5 goals is rated 59%, with fair odds of 1.70 against best odds of 1.64.
- Both sides have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their 5 matches.
- BTTS sits at 58%, and a home win is rated 54%.
- The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which is the clearest way this bet can fall short.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- 2Başakşehir's expected goals of 2.12 point to a home side capable of driving the total.
- 3Gaziantep have conceded nine in five and travel after two scoreless league defeats.
Verdict
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at best odds of 1.64, a strong-probability pick rather than a big price. The main risk is a controlled 2-0 home win, with Gaziantep's recent scoring drought making that scoreline the obvious danger.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Başakşehir +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| 1XBaşakşehir or Draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.46 |
| AH2 +1.5Gaziantep FK +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 59% | 1.69 | 1.46 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | 1.60 |
| 1Başakşehir to win | 54% | 1.84 | 1.72 |
| X2Gaziantep FK or Draw | 46% | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.39 | 2.25 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 | 2.38 |
| AH1 -1.5Başakşehir -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 41% | 2.44 | 2.90 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | 2.38 |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.79 | 4.27 |
| 2Gaziantep FK to win | 19% | 5.23 | 4.64 |
| AH2 -1.5Gaziantep FK -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.66 | 8.50 |
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 | - | - | 1.60 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 4.27 | 4.64 | 1.64 | 2.38 | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.50 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.45 | 1.58 | 2.29 | 1.59 | 2.18 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.18 | 4.71 | 1.61 | 2.33 | - | - |
Recent form
Başakşehir- 11 OctAKonyaspor0-0
- 19 SeptHGençlerbirliği S.K.4-0
- 13 SeptAAmed0-5
- 4 SeptHGalatasaray2-3
- 30 AugHKasımpaşa1-1
Gaziantep FK- 11 OctHÇorum FK0-3
- 19 SeptAKocaelispor0-2
- 14 SeptHFenerbahçe0-0
- 7 SeptAGöztepe4-2
- 29 AugHRizespor1-2
Head to head
Super Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 |  Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 |  Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -18 | 3 |
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK: FAQ
What is the Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.64. Our predicted score is Başakşehir 2-0 Gaziantep FK.
Who is the favourite to win Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
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Başakşehir are favourites. Our model gives Başakşehir a 54% chance of winning, Gaziantep FK 19%, and the draw 26%.
Will both teams score in Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK kick off?
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Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul.
