J1 League· Regular Season - 9· Fukuda Denshi Arena
JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki1-1
FT
JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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More JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5V-varen Nagasaki +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | 1.09 |
| AH1 +1.5JEF United Chiba +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.23 | 1.09 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 | 1.26 |
| X2V-varen Nagasaki or Draw | 68% | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| 1XJEF United Chiba or Draw | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.82 | 1.69 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.87 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | 2.10 |
| 2V-varen Nagasaki to win | 37% | 2.71 | 2.68 |
| 1JEF United Chiba to win | 32% | 3.11 | 2.75 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.23 | 3.45 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.53 | 3.20 |
| AH2 -1.5V-varen Nagasaki -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.36 | 5.35 |
| AH1 -1.5JEF United Chiba -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.96 | 5.35 |
JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.60 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.68 | 3.32 | 2.68 | 1.95 | 1.87 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 3.24 | 2.61 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.69 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 3.37 | 2.74 | 2.00 | 1.88 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.05 | 2.58 | 2.01 | 1.83 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki preview & analysis
Match preview
JEF United Chiba host V-varen Nagasaki in the J1 League (Regular Season - 9) at Fukuda Denshi Arena on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 05:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
JEF United Chiba are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Fagiano Okayama 0-1 away. They're 19th in the table with 5 points from 9 games. V-varen Nagasaki arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 away. They're 14th in the table with 9 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, JEF United Chiba have won 1, V-varen Nagasaki have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes V-varen Nagasaki narrow favourites: JEF United Chiba 32%, draw 31%, V-varen Nagasaki 37%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 49% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Recent form
JEF United Chiba- 7 OctAFagiano Okayama0-1
- 29 SeptAJubilo Iwata2-4
- 19 SeptAShimizu S-pulse1-2
- 13 SeptATokyo Verdy1-1
- 9 SeptAKamatamare Sanuki2-0
V-varen Nagasaki- 7 OctAShimizu S-pulse1-2
- 29 SeptAGainare Tottori0-2
- 19 SeptHCerezo Osaka1-1
- 12 SeptHNagoya Grampus2-0
- 9 SeptAKochi United1-0
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki?
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V-varen Nagasaki are favourites. Our model gives JEF United Chiba a 32% chance of winning, V-varen Nagasaki 37%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki kick off?
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JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki kicks off at 05:00 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba.
