J1 League· Regular Season - 9· Ajinomoto Stadium
Tokyo Verdy
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0-2
FT
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
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More Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sanfrecce Hiroshima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | - |
| X2Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw | 87% | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.34 |
| 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win | 59% | 1.69 | 1.57 |
| AH1 +1.5Tokyo Verdy +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 56% | 1.80 | 1.55 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 52% | 1.93 | 1.92 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | 1.99 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 48% | 2.07 | 1.95 |
| AH2 -1.5Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 44% | 2.26 | 2.48 |
| 1XTokyo Verdy or Draw | 41% | 2.45 | 2.39 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.39 | 3.37 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| 1Tokyo Verdy to win | 13% | 7.70 | 5.50 |
| AH1 -1.5Tokyo Verdy -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 35.80 | - |
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 5.50 | 3.70 | 1.57 | - | - | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| 1xBet | 7.00 | 3.68 | 1.57 | 1.99 | 1.83 | 1.90 | 1.92 |
| Dafabet | 6.80 | 4.70 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 6.50 | 3.60 | 1.55 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 5.85 | 3.92 | 1.54 | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.47 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.55 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | 6.37 | 4.12 | 1.57 | 1.97 | 1.92 | - | - |
| SBO | 5.51 | 3.95 | 1.53 | 1.80 | 2.06 | - | - |
| Betano | 6.00 | 3.85 | 1.55 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview & analysis
Match preview
Tokyo Verdy host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League (Regular Season - 9) at Ajinomoto Stadium on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 06:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Tokyo Verdy arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Gainare Tottori 0-0 away. They're 20th in the table with 4 points from 9 games. Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Iwaki 4-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Tokyo Verdy have won 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.4 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima favourites: Tokyo Verdy 13%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59%. We expect around 2.7 goals (0.7 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Tokyo Verdy- 7 OctAGainare Tottori0-0
- 29 SeptASagan Tosu1-2
- 19 SeptAUrawa1-3
- 13 SeptHJEF United Chiba1-1
- 9 SeptABiwako Shiga1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- 7 OctHIwaki4-0
- 29 SeptATochigi City2-0
- 19 SeptAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
- 12 SeptHCerezo Osaka6-1
- 6 SeptAFagiano Okayama2-3
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites. Our model gives Tokyo Verdy a 13% chance of winning, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
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We rate both teams to score at 48%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima kick off?
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Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima kicks off at 06:00 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu.
