Veikkausliiga· Championship Group - 28· Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki

WWDDW

Gnistan

LDDWD

14:00

17 Oct

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off 14:00

Our prediction

HJK Helsinki to win

Medium· 61%

Predicted score

2-0

Fair odds

1.64

Expected goals

2.6 - 0.9

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Fan vote

Voting closed at kick-off

Who will win?

Votes: 0

How many goals?

Votes: 0

Match probabilities

61%HJK Helsinki

24%Draw

15%Gnistan

Over 2.5 goals66%

Under 2.5 goals34%

Both teams to score61%

Clean sheet either side39%

More HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH1 +1.5HJK Helsinki +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	97%	1.03	1.01
1XHJK Helsinki or Draw	85%	1.18	1.12
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	66%	1.51	1.36
BTTS YesBoth teams to score	61%	1.65	1.57
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	54%	1.86	1.74
AH1 -1.5HJK Helsinki -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	53%	1.90	2.14
AH2 +1.5Gnistan +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	47%	2.11	1.65
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	46%	2.16	2.02
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	39%	2.53	2.35
X2Gnistan or Draw	39%	2.56	2.64
U2.5Under 2.5 goals	34%	2.96	2.69
XDraw	24%	4.21	4.75
2Gnistan to win	15%	6.52	5.91
AH2 -1.5Gnistan -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	3%	33.00	10.00

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker	1	X	2	O2.5	U2.5	BTTS	No BTTS
William Hill	1.44	4.50	5.50	-	-	1.57	2.30
1xBet	1.45	4.75	5.91	1.36	2.69	1.53	2.35
Bet365	1.45	4.33	5.50	1.44	2.70	1.53	2.38
Marathonbet	1.44	4.75	5.90	1.36	2.69	1.53	2.31
BetVictor	1.44	4.50	5.50	1.40	2.75	1.50	2.40
Pinnacle	1.49	4.97	5.81	1.43	2.89	-	-

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan preview & analysis

Match preview

HJK Helsinki host Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga (Championship Group - 28) at Bolt Arena on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

HJK Helsinki arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat AC Oulu 4-3 away. They're 3rd in the table with 37 points from 22 games. Gnistan arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to VPS 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 36 points from 22 games.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, HJK Helsinki have won 3, Gnistan have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes HJK Helsinki clear favourites: HJK Helsinki 61%, draw 24%, Gnistan 15%. We expect around 3.4 goals (2.6 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.

Our tip

HJK Helsinki have the stronger profile here and home advantage tips it further their way. Our pick is HJK Helsinki to win at 1.45, which our model rates at a 61% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is HJK Helsinki 2-0 Gnistan.

Recent form

HJK Helsinki

WWDDW

12 OctAAC Oulu4-3
8 OctHVPS6-0
18 SeptAGnistan1-1
13 SeptAKuPS0-0
9 SeptHInter Turku2-1

Gnistan

LDDWD

12 OctAVPS0-1
7 OctHInter Turku0-0
18 SeptHHJK Helsinki1-1
12 SeptAAC Oulu2-1
8 SeptHKuPS1-1

Head to head

18/09/2026Gnistan1-1HJK Helsinki

23/08/2026HJK Helsinki2-3Gnistan

18/04/2026Gnistan0-3HJK Helsinki

10/03/2026HJK Helsinki3-0Gnistan

07/02/2026HJK Helsinki3-1Gnistan

03/11/2025Gnistan2-2HJK Helsinki

Veikkausliiga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	22	12	7	3	+15	43
2	Inter Turku	22	11	9	2	+13	42
3	HJK Helsinki	22	11	4	7	+9	37
4	Gnistan	22	10	6	6	+7	36
5	AC Oulu	22	10	4	8	0	34
6	VPS	22	9	6	7	+7	33
7	Lahti	22	9	5	8	+7	32
8	Turku PS	22	8	7	7	+5	31
9	Ilves	22	7	4	11	-3	25
10	SJK	22	4	7	11	-8	19
11	FF Jaro	22	3	6	13	-26	15
12	Mariehamn	22	3	5	14	-26	14