Austrian Bundesliga· Regular Season - 11· Merkur-Arena
Grazer AK
TSV Hartberg30 Oct
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 30 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.3 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
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More Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5TSV Hartberg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2TSV Hartberg or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Grazer AK +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XGrazer AK or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2TSV Hartberg to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5TSV Hartberg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Grazer AK to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Grazer AK -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg preview & analysis
Match preview
Grazer AK host TSV Hartberg in the Austrian Bundesliga (Regular Season - 11) at Merkur-Arena on Friday, 30 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Grazer AK arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Red Bull Salzburg 0-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 9 points from 8 games. TSV Hartberg arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Austria Lustenau 4-3 at home. They're 6th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Grazer AK have won 0, TSV Hartberg have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes TSV Hartberg narrow favourites: Grazer AK 23%, draw 38%, TSV Hartberg 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Grazer AK 1-2 TSV Hartberg.
Recent form
Grazer AK- 10 OctHRed Bull Salzburg0-0
- 30 SeptAKalsdorf5-1
- 19 SeptHAustria Vienna2-2
- 12 SeptASCR Altach2-1
- 6 SeptAKitzbühel2-0
TSV Hartberg- 11 OctHAustria Lustenau4-3
- 24 SeptHSV Kapfenberg5-0
- 20 SeptHLask Linz3-3
- 13 SeptAWSG Wattens2-2
- 6 SeptASK Vorwarts Steyr4-0
Head to head
Austrian Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +16 | 21 |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 |  Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 9 |
| 8 |  Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 |  WSG Wattens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg: FAQ
What is the Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Grazer AK 1-2 TSV Hartberg.
Who is the favourite to win Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
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TSV Hartberg are favourites. Our model gives Grazer AK a 23% chance of winning, TSV Hartberg 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg kick off?
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Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg kicks off at 18:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Merkur-Arena, Graz.
