Brasileirão· Regular Season - 34· Estádio do Maracanã
Flamengo
Gremio4 Nov
Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Flamengo vs Gremio tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XFlamengo or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Gremio +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| X2Gremio or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Flamengo to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.35 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.05 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| 2Gremio to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gremio -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 21.03 | - |
Flamengo vs Gremio preview & analysis
Match preview
Flamengo host Gremio in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 34) at Estádio do Maracanã on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 64 points from 30 games. Gremio arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Internacional 1-1 at home. They're 18th in the table with 31 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Flamengo have won 3, Gremio have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo favourites: Flamengo 47%, draw 41%, Gremio 12%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Our tip
At least one of these sides should struggle to score, so we're backing BTTS No. Our pick is Both teams NOT to score, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Flamengo 1-0 Gremio.
Recent form
Flamengo- 16 OctAEstudiantes L.P.0-0
- 11 OctHFluminense1-0
- 8 OctASantos2-2
- 20 SeptHRB Bragantino2-1
- 18 SeptHIndependiente del Valle1-1
Gremio- 11 OctHInternacional1-1
- 7 OctARemo1-1
- 20 SeptHPalmeiras0-0
- 16 SeptABotafogo2-3
- 12 SeptHVasco DA Gama1-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Flamengo vs Gremio: FAQ
What is the Flamengo vs Gremio prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score. Our predicted score is Flamengo 1-0 Gremio.
Who is the favourite to win Flamengo vs Gremio?
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Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Flamengo a 47% chance of winning, Gremio 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Gremio?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Flamengo vs Gremio kick off?
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Flamengo vs Gremio kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
