Champions League· League Stage - 4
FC Porto
Napoli4 Nov
FC Porto vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Porto vs Napoli tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Porto +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Napoli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| 1XFC Porto or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| X2Napoli or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.50 | - |
| 1FC Porto to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Napoli to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Porto -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Napoli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.84 | - |
FC Porto vs Napoli preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Porto host Napoli in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Porto arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Real Betis 2-3 away. They're 30th in the table with 0 points from 2 games. Napoli arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Villarreal 1-3 away. They're 32nd in the table with 0 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Porto narrow favourites: FC Porto 38%, draw 32%, Napoli 30%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Porto 2-1 Napoli.
Recent form
FC Porto- 14 OctAReal Betis2-3
- 10 OctAMaritimo2-1
- 2 OctADeportivo La Coruna3-1
- 20 SeptHBenfica3-1
- 12 SeptACasa Pia4-1
Napoli- 13 OctAVillarreal1-3
- 10 OctHFrosinone3-0
- 20 SeptAFiorentina1-1
- 13 SeptHBologna1-0
- 9 SeptHArsenal0-1
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 28 |  Fenerbahçe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 1 |
| 29 |  Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | FC Porto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 |  Slavia Praha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 32 | Napoli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lask Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
FC Porto vs Napoli: FAQ
What is the FC Porto vs Napoli prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is FC Porto 2-1 Napoli.
Who is the favourite to win FC Porto vs Napoli?
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FC Porto are favourites. Our model gives FC Porto a 38% chance of winning, Napoli 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Napoli?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Porto vs Napoli kick off?
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FC Porto vs Napoli kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026.
