Brasileirão· Regular Season - 34· Arena da Baixada
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama4 Nov
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.0
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Vasco DA Gama or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Paranaense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| 1XAtletico Paranaense or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 2Vasco DA Gama to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.86 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 1Atletico Paranaense to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Paranaense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.67 | - |
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Paranaense host Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 34) at Arena da Baixada on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atletico Paranaense arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Chapecoense-sc 4-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 53 points from 30 games. Vasco DA Gama arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Boca Juniors 1-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 35 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico Paranaense have won 2, Vasco DA Gama have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vasco DA Gama narrow favourites: Atletico Paranaense 23%, draw 38%, Vasco DA Gama 39%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.4 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Vasco DA Gama.
Recent form
Atletico Paranaense- 12 OctAChapecoense-sc4-1
- 9 OctHAtletico-MG2-2
- 20 SeptHBahia2-1
- 12 SeptACoritiba3-3
- 6 SeptACruzeiro1-3
Vasco DA Gama- 14 OctABoca Juniors1-0
- 10 OctHRemo0-0
- 8 OctABotafogo2-1
- 20 SeptHCoritiba5-0
- 15 SeptHSanta Fe2-0
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama: FAQ
What is the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Vasco DA Gama.
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama?
+
Vasco DA Gama are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Paranaense a 23% chance of winning, Vasco DA Gama 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama?
+
We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama kick off?
+
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba.
