AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Kick-off 17:45

Our prediction

Both teams to score

High· 66%

1xBetBet

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

2-1

Fair odds

1.51

Expected goals

2.3 - 1.3

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Match probabilities

44%AEK Athens FC

38%Draw

18%Real Madrid

Over 2.5 goals71%

Under 2.5 goals29%

Both teams to score66%

Clean sheet either side34%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH1 +1.5AEK Athens FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	92%	1.09	-
1XAEK Athens FC or Draw	82%	1.23	-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	71%	1.42	-
AH2 +1.5Real Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	61%	1.63	-
X2Real Madrid or Draw	56%	1.78	-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	50%	1.98	-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	50%	2.02	-
1AEK Athens FC to win	44%	2.28	-
AH1 -1.5AEK Athens FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	39%	2.59	-
XDraw	38%	2.65	-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	34%	2.95	-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals	29%	3.40	-
2Real Madrid to win	18%	5.43	-
AH2 -1.5Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	8%	11.89	-

AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid preview & analysis

Match preview

AEK Athens FC host Real Madrid in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Allwyn Arena on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

AEK Athens FC arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 away. They're 20th in the table with 3 points from 2 games. Real Madrid arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat AS Roma 4-3 away. They're 8th in the table with 6 points from 2 games.

What the numbers say

Our model makes AEK Athens FC narrow favourites: AEK Athens FC 44%, draw 38%, Real Madrid 18%. We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.

Our tip

Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AEK Athens FC 2-1 Real Madrid.

Recent form

AEK Athens FC

LWWWD

14 OctAShakhtar Donetsk1-3
10 OctHOFI3-0
20 SeptAVolos NFC2-1
17 SeptHPanserraikos8-1
13 SeptAAsteras Tripolis1-1

Real Madrid

WWLWW

14 OctAAS Roma4-3
10 OctHVillarreal1-0
20 SeptAAtletico Madrid1-2
15 SeptAElche3-2
12 SeptHRayo Vallecano4-1

Champions League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	VfB Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Real Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Bayern München	2	1	1	0	+5	4
18	Borussia Dortmund	2	1	0	1	0	3
19	Lens	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	AEK Athens FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Sabah FA	2	1	0	1	-2	3