Serie A· Regular Season - 5· San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
Lecce3-0
FT
AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AC Milan vs Lecce tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAC Milan or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Lecce +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Lecce or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.25 | - |
| 1AC Milan to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.04 | - |
| 2Lecce to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lecce -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.99 | - |
AC Milan vs Lecce preview & analysis
Match preview
AC Milan host Lecce in the Serie A (Regular Season - 5) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Benfica 0-2 at home. They're 5th in the table with 12 points from 6 games. Lecce arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Monza 3-2 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, AC Milan have won 6, Lecce have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AC Milan narrow favourites: AC Milan 44%, draw 38%, Lecce 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
AC Milan- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
- 6 SeptAJuventus1-1
- 28 AugHVenezia2-0
Lecce- 13 SeptHMonza3-2
- 7 SeptACagliari0-1
- 31 AugHAS Roma0-4
- 23 AugAVenezia2-0
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
AC Milan vs Lecce: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win AC Milan vs Lecce?
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AC Milan are favourites. Our model gives AC Milan a 44% chance of winning, Lecce 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Lecce?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does AC Milan vs Lecce kick off?
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AC Milan vs Lecce kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.
