Super Lig· Regular Season - 8· Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
Fenerbahçe
Alanyaspor17 Oct
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
2.4 - 0.7
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Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor: Goals Stand Out as the Likely Outcome
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Fenerbahçe host Alanyaspor on Saturday with a top-six clash between two sides separated by a single point. Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 is the most probable outcome on the board, not the biggest price.
Form And Context
Both teams sit in the top six and both have been involved in goal-heavy matches.
- Fenerbahçe are 4th of 18 with 13 points from 7; Alanyaspor are 6th with 12 points from 7.
- Fenerbahçe's last five: 3W 1D 1L, 13 scored, 6 conceded, over 2.5 in 3 of 5.
- Alanyaspor's last five: 2W 2D 1L, 6 scored, 5 conceded, over 2.5 in 3 of 5, BTTS in 3.
- Alanyaspor are four league games unbeaten, according to Sports Mole, though their latest was a 0-0.
- Recent head-to-heads finished 3-2, 2-2 and 2-0 to Fenerbahçe.
Team News So Far
Team news is still provisional with two days to kick-off, so nothing is locked in yet.
- Fenerbahçe are reported without Mert Müldür (knee) and Jayden Oosterwolde (Achilles), both defenders.
- Alanyaspor's Maestro is listed as questionable with a thigh injury.
- Sports Mole also flags defender Fatih Aksoy as doubtful; no suspension has been confirmed.
- No confirmed line-ups yet, and Alanyaspor began preparations on 12 October per the club.
Hosts' Motivation
Fenerbahçe arrive with something to prove after a punishing European night.
- Manager İsmail Kartal told DHA: "We want to win that game and make our supporters forget this defeat."
- They lost 0-6 away to Aston Villa in the Champions League on 14 October.
- Their home league form includes an 8-0 win over Eyüpspor.
- Expected goals read 2.43 for Fenerbahçe against 0.68 for Alanyaspor.
The Numbers
The model makes this the single most probable result on the card.
- Over 2.5 goals is rated at 60%, with both teams scoring at 49%.
- Home win 68%, draw 22%, away 10%; most likely score 2-0.
- Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.62, with a fair price of 1.66.
- Main risk: a cagey, low-scoring game. Fenerbahçe drew 0-0 at Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor drew 0-0 with Erzurumspor recently.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals land in 3 of their last 5 games.
- 2Fenerbahçe's expected goals of 2.43 against 0.68 points to a one-sided, open game.
- 3The 60% rating makes over 2.5 the most likely outcome, even if the price is not generous.
Verdict
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at best odds of 1.62. It is a strong-probability play rather than a big-value price, so the honest risk is a tight, low-scoring afternoon.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Fenerbahçe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XFenerbahçe or Draw | 90% | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| 1Fenerbahçe to win | 68% | 1.46 | 1.31 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.49 |
| AH1 -1.5Fenerbahçe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 53% | 1.87 | 1.92 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.95 | 1.83 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.06 | 1.91 |
| AH2 +1.5Alanyaspor +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 47% | 2.14 | 1.96 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 | 2.30 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | 2.42 |
| X2Alanyaspor or Draw | 32% | 3.16 | 3.68 |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.66 | 5.95 |
| 2Alanyaspor to win | 10% | 9.87 | 10.10 |
| AH2 -1.5Alanyaspor -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 45.97 | - |
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.50 | - | - | 1.91 | 1.83 |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.95 | 10.10 | 1.62 | 2.42 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 5.00 | 8.50 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.40 | 9.20 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 1.90 | 1.78 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.25 | 9.50 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30 | 5.81 | 9.51 | 1.57 | 2.47 | - | - |
Recent form
Fenerbahçe- 14 OctAAston Villa0-6
- 10 OctARizespor3-0
- 3 OctATuran2-0
- 20 SeptHEyüpspor8-0
- 14 SeptAGaziantep FK0-0
Alanyaspor- 10 OctHErzurumspor FK0-0
- 19 SeptAÇorum FK2-1
- 12 SeptHGöztepe2-2
- 7 SeptARizespor1-0
- 30 AugAEyüpspor1-2
Head to head
Super Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 |  Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 |  Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -18 | 3 |
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor: FAQ
What is the Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62. Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 2-0 Alanyaspor.
Who is the favourite to win Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
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Fenerbahçe are favourites. Our model gives Fenerbahçe a 68% chance of winning, Alanyaspor 10%, and the draw 21%.
Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor kick off?
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Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul.
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