Super Lig· Regular Season - 8· Diyarbakir Stadium
Amed
Konyaspor17 Oct
Amed vs Konyaspor Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Expert analysis
Amed vs Konyaspor: Under 2.5 goals at 1.94
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Amed arrive unbeaten and scoring freely, while Konyaspor sit 16th with the quietest attack in this matchup. The model makes a low-scoring game the single most likely outcome, so Under 2.5 goals at 1.94 is the pick.
Form And Context
Third hosts 16th, and the two form lines point in opposite directions.
- Amed: 3W 2D 0L in five, scoring 14 and conceding 7, with over 2.5 in all five.
- That run includes a 5-0 win over Başakşehir and a 3-2 win against Beşiktaş.
- Konyaspor: 1W 3D 1L, scoring 3 and conceding 3 across their five.
- Only 1 of Konyaspor's 5 matches went over 2.5, and just one saw both teams score.
Team News
Two days out, team news is provisional and no starting line-ups are confirmed.
- Amed are without M. Yildirim (muscle); G. Gul and Y. Sor are listed as questionable.
- Amed TV reports Lumbardh Dellova is expected to miss out after his injury against Gençlerbirliği.
- Konyaspor lose M. Ibrahimoglu (muscle), with E. Destan questionable over a knee problem.
- Anadolu'da Bugün reports Uğurcan Yazğılı and Adil Demirbağ are unlikely to play, while Dompe trains separately.
The Key Matchup
The game hinges on whether Konyaspor can add anything to Amed's output.
- Konyaspor have scored 3 goals in five, drawing three, and lean on a compact defence.
- Their expected goals figure here is just 0.95, the lower side of this matchup.
- Amed's 1.71 expected goals carries the threat, but one team scoring alone caps the total.
- The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which keeps the game under the line.
The Numbers
The goals market is close to even, and the price tells the same story.
- Under 2.5 is modelled at 50%, against fair odds of 1.99.
- Both teams to score sits at 53%, so this is not a clean-sheet bet.
- Best price on the unders is 1.94, making it a strong-probability pick rather than a big-value one.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Konyaspor have gone over 2.5 in only 1 of their last 5 league games.
- 2Konyaspor's expected goals of 0.95 is the lowest figure in the game.
- 3The most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Verdict
Take Under 2.5 goals at best odds of 1.94. The main risk is Amed's home scoring form: they have gone over 2.5 in all five league games, so another Başakşehir or Beşiktaş style scoreline would settle this the wrong way.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Amed vs Konyaspor tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Amed +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| 1XAmed or Draw | 78% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| AH2 +1.5Konyaspor +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | 1.23 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | 1.73 |
| X2Konyaspor or Draw | 52% | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | 1.94 |
| 1Amed to win | 48% | 2.07 | 1.98 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | 2.00 |
| AH1 -1.5Amed -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | 3.42 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.39 | 3.73 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.43 | 3.08 |
| 2Konyaspor to win | 22% | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| AH2 -1.5Konyaspor -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.09 | 8.60 |
Amed vs Konyaspor odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.60 | - | - | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.73 | 3.88 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.55 | 4.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.58 | 3.72 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 1.97 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.73 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.64 | 3.84 | 1.91 | 1.93 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.07 | 3.33 | 1.94 | 1.88 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
Recent form
Amed- 10 OctAGençlerbirliği S.K.2-2
- 20 SeptHBeşiktaş3-2
- 13 SeptHBaşakşehir5-0
- 6 SeptAKasımpaşa2-2
- 31 AugHTrabzonspor2-1
Konyaspor- 11 OctHBaşakşehir0-0
- 30 SeptHPalestine2-2
- 18 SeptAKasımpaşa0-0
- 12 SeptHTrabzonspor1-0
- 5 SeptAErzurumspor FK0-1
Super Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 | Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 |  Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 |  Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -18 | 3 |
Amed vs Konyaspor: FAQ
What is the Amed vs Konyaspor prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.94. Our predicted score is Amed 1-0 Konyaspor.
Who is the favourite to win Amed vs Konyaspor?
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Amed are favourites. Our model gives Amed a 48% chance of winning, Konyaspor 22%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Amed vs Konyaspor?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Amed vs Konyaspor kick off?
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Amed vs Konyaspor kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Diyarbakir Stadium.
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