Conference League· League Stage - 2· Stockhorn Arena
FC Thun
HNK Hajduk Split22 Oct
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Thun +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5HNK Hajduk Split +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| 1XFC Thun or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2HNK Hajduk Split or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1FC Thun to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2HNK Hajduk Split to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 28% | 3.60 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Thun -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.17 | - |
| AH2 -1.5HNK Hajduk Split -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.41 | - |
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Thun host HNK Hajduk Split in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at Stockhorn Arena on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Thun are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Twente 0-1 away. They're 30th in the table with 0 points from 1 game. HNK Hajduk Split arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Ajax 2-1 at home. They're 10th in the table with 3 points from 1 game.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Thun narrow favourites: FC Thun 37%, draw 31%, HNK Hajduk Split 32%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.0 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 72% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Thun 2-1 HNK Hajduk Split.
Recent form
FC Thun- 15 OctATwente0-1
- 10 OctAFC Zurich2-4
- 3 OctHSC Kriens2-0
- 20 SeptAFC Vaduz2-1
- 16 SeptHServette FC2-4
HNK Hajduk Split- 15 OctHAjax2-1
- 10 OctHDinamo Zagreb2-1
- 20 SeptAHNK Rijeka0-3
- 13 SeptHNK Slaven Belupo1-0
- 8 SeptAVardarac2-0
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  FC Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Brann | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 | FC Thun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  KuPS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  Pafos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: FAQ
What is the FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FC Thun 2-1 HNK Hajduk Split.
Who is the favourite to win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
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FC Thun are favourites. Our model gives FC Thun a 37% chance of winning, HNK Hajduk Split 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
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We rate both teams to score at 72%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split kick off?
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FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun.
