EFL Cup· Round of 16· Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton
Newcastle29 Oct
Everton vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
More Everton vs Newcastle tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Everton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| AH2 +1.5Newcastle +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| 1XEverton or Draw | 70% | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| X2Newcastle or Draw | 60% | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.17 | 1.95 |
| 1Everton to win | 40% | 2.49 | 2.47 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.32 | 3.50 |
| 2Newcastle to win | 30% | 3.36 | 2.85 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.63 | 3.40 |
| AH1 -1.5Everton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.71 | 4.70 |
| AH2 -1.5Newcastle -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.33 | 5.70 |
Everton vs Newcastle odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.47 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Everton vs Newcastle preview & analysis
Match preview
Everton host Newcastle in the EFL Cup (Round of 16) at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Thursday, 29 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Everton arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Hull City 2-2 away. Newcastle arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Coventry 1-4 away.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Everton have won 3, Newcastle have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Everton narrow favourites: Everton 40%, draw 30%, Newcastle 30%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.78, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Everton 1-0 Newcastle.
Recent form
Everton- 11 OctAHull City2-2
- 19 SeptHIpswich1-0
- 16 SeptHWolves1-0
- 12 SeptATottenham0-0
- 6 SeptHManchester United2-2
Newcastle- 12 OctACoventry1-4
- 19 SeptHHull City2-1
- 14 SeptALeeds1-4
- 8 SeptAMillwall1-0
- 5 SeptHBournemouth2-2
Head to head
Everton vs Newcastle: FAQ
What is the Everton vs Newcastle prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.78. Our predicted score is Everton 1-0 Newcastle.
Who is the favourite to win Everton vs Newcastle?
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Everton are favourites. Our model gives Everton a 40% chance of winning, Newcastle 30%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Newcastle?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Everton vs Newcastle kick off?
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Everton vs Newcastle kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.
