Ligue 1· Regular Season - 7· Stade de l'Aube
Estac Troyes
Lens17 Oct
Estac Troyes vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
1.1 - 2.1
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Match probabilities
More Estac Troyes vs Lens tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Lens +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| X2Lens or Draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| AH1 +1.5Estac Troyes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.59 | 1.38 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.52 |
| 2Lens to win | 51% | 1.96 | 1.87 |
| 1XEstac Troyes or Draw | 49% | 2.04 | 2.04 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | 2.46 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 | 2.33 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.54 | 2.37 |
| AH2 -1.5Lens -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.70 | - |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.65 | 4.04 |
| 1Estac Troyes to win | 22% | 4.61 | 4.30 |
| AH1 -1.5Estac Troyes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.83 | 8.70 |
Estac Troyes vs Lens odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.80 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 4.30 | 4.04 | 1.87 | 1.64 | 2.46 | 1.53 | 2.37 |
| Dafabet | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.85 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.83 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 4.20 | 3.94 | 1.82 | 1.59 | 2.39 | 1.53 | 2.34 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 4.06 | 4.04 | 1.85 | 1.61 | 2.42 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.52 | 3.49 | 1.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.78 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Estac Troyes vs Lens preview & analysis
Match preview
Estac Troyes host Lens in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Stade de l'Aube on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Estac Troyes are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Marseille 0-2 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Lens arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Sporting CP 0-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 7 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Estac Troyes have won 0, Lens have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lens favourites: Estac Troyes 22%, draw 27%, Lens 51%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.1 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.64, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Estac Troyes 1-2 Lens.
Recent form
Estac Troyes- 11 OctHMarseille0-2
- 2 OctADijon2-2
- 19 SeptAAngers0-2
- 13 SeptALille0-2
- 6 SeptHStrasbourg2-6
Lens- 13 OctHSporting CP0-2
- 9 OctHLyon2-1
- 2 OctAStandard Liege2-0
- 18 SeptAMonaco1-2
- 13 SeptALe Mans2-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Estac Troyes vs Lens: FAQ
What is the Estac Troyes vs Lens prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.64. Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1-2 Lens.
Who is the favourite to win Estac Troyes vs Lens?
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Lens are favourites. Our model gives Estac Troyes a 22% chance of winning, Lens 51%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Estac Troyes vs Lens?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Estac Troyes vs Lens kick off?
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Estac Troyes vs Lens kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.
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