La Liga· Regular Season - 14
Elche
Atletico Madrid29 Nov
Elche vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
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More Elche vs Atletico Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Atletico Madrid or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Elche +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XElche or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Atletico Madrid to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.45 | - |
| 1Elche to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Elche -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.94 | - |
Elche vs Atletico Madrid preview & analysis
Match preview
Elche host Atletico Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 14) on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Elche arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Celta Vigo 0-0 at home. They're 18th in the table with 6 points from 8 games. Atletico Madrid arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Manchester United 2-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Elche have won 2, Atletico Madrid have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: Elche 23%, draw 38%, Atletico Madrid 39%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Elche 1-2 Atletico Madrid.
Recent form
Elche- 11 OctHCelta Vigo0-0
- 18 SeptAEspanyol3-1
- 15 SeptHReal Madrid2-3
- 12 SeptAAthletic Club1-1
- 7 SeptHReal Sociedad2-3
Atletico Madrid- 13 OctHManchester United2-0
- 10 OctAAlaves2-1
- 20 SeptHReal Madrid2-1
- 16 SeptHOsasuna4-0
- 13 SeptAReal Sociedad3-0
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Elche vs Atletico Madrid: FAQ
What is the Elche vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Elche 1-2 Atletico Madrid.
Who is the favourite to win Elche vs Atletico Madrid?
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Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Elche a 23% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Elche vs Atletico Madrid?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Elche vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
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Elche vs Atletico Madrid kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026.
