La Liga· Regular Season - 14
Celta Vigo
Villarreal29 Nov
Celta Vigo vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
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More Celta Vigo vs Villarreal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Celta Vigo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XCelta Vigo or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Villarreal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Villarreal or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Celta Vigo to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Celta Vigo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Villarreal to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Villarreal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Celta Vigo vs Villarreal preview & analysis
Match preview
Celta Vigo host Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 14) on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Celta Vigo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Juventus 1-2 at home. They're 9th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Villarreal arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Napoli 3-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Celta Vigo have won 2, Villarreal have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Celta Vigo narrow favourites: Celta Vigo 44%, draw 38%, Villarreal 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 1-0 Villarreal.
Recent form
Celta Vigo- 15 OctHJuventus1-2
- 11 OctAElche0-0
- 19 SeptHRacing Santander5-0
- 16 SeptAOmonia Nicosia0-1
- 13 SeptHMalaga1-1
Villarreal- 13 OctHNapoli3-1
- 10 OctAReal Madrid0-1
- 20 SeptHLevante3-1
- 17 SeptAMalaga3-1
- 14 SeptHReal Betis1-2
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Celta Vigo vs Villarreal: FAQ
What is the Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1-0 Villarreal.
Who is the favourite to win Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
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Celta Vigo are favourites. Our model gives Celta Vigo a 44% chance of winning, Villarreal 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Celta Vigo vs Villarreal kick off?
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Celta Vigo vs Villarreal kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026.
