FA Cup· 4th Round Qualifying
Eastleigh
Brentwood Town17 Oct
Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
2.5 - 0.7
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Votes: 0Expert analysis
Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town: Backing a Clean Sheet at Both Ends
Analysis by Marcus Hale
English football, Champions League & Europa League ·
Eastleigh are the model's clear favourites at 69%, with a projected 2.52 home goals against Brentwood Town's 0.71 and a most likely score of 2-0. Both teams NOT to score is the recommended pick at 1.71, a probability-led selection rather than a search for a big-value price.
Form and Context
Eastleigh host Brentwood Town in the FA Cup fourth qualifying round on Saturday, with a place in the first round proper at stake.
- Eastleigh's last five: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 10 conceded.
- Brentwood's last five: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, with 13 goals scored and 9 conceded.
- Eastleigh have lost their latest two league matches, including a 2-0 defeat at AFC Hornchurch on 10 October.
- Brentwood's recent run includes a 3-0 defeat to Billericay Town in the BBC Essex Senior Cup on 13 October.
Team News
Neither club has confirmed reliable availability information that would justify predicting the starting elevens.
- Eastleigh published a pre-match interview with manager Matt Gray on 16 October, although an accessible transcript was unavailable.
- Brentwood have no confirmed injury or suspension updates in the official club and FA material reviewed.
- Brentwood manager Brett Munyard signed a two-year contract on 9 October, committing to the club through the end of the 2027/28 season.
- Brentwood have progressed through victories over Concord Rangers, Aveley and Dagenham & Redbridge to reach this round.
The Key Numbers
The model favours Eastleigh to win while keeping Brentwood off the scoresheet.
- Eastleigh's modelled win probability is 69%, compared with 18% for a draw and 13% for a Brentwood victory.
- Expected goals stand at 2.52 for Eastleigh and 0.71 for Brentwood.
- The most likely score is 2-0, which directly supports the recommended market.
- Both teams to score is modelled at 46%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Betting Verdict
Both teams NOT to score is the preferred selection, with the home side's projected scoring advantage central to the case.
- The recommended pick is Both teams NOT to score at 1.71.
- The model assigns the selection a 54% probability, making it a probability-led choice rather than a major value play.
- Eastleigh's home-win projection and Brentwood's expected goals figure of 0.71 provide the clearest statistical support.
- The main risk is Brentwood's attacking form: they have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, so Eastleigh cannot assume a clean sheet.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Eastleigh's 69% modelled win probability and 2.52 expected goals point towards a home-led result.
- 2Brentwood's 0.71 expected goals and the model's 2-0 scoreline support the prospect of at least one clean sheet.
- 3The 54% probability makes Both teams NOT to score a measured, probability-led selection at the available price.
Verdict
The recommendation is Both teams NOT to score at best odds of 1.71. The model favours a 2-0 Eastleigh win, but Brentwood's recent scoring record remains the principal threat to the selection.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Eastleigh +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XEastleigh or Draw | 87% | 1.15 | - |
| 1Eastleigh to win | 69% | 1.44 | 1.17 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.59 |
| AH1 -1.5Eastleigh -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.83 | 1.60 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| AH2 +1.5Brentwood Town +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.21 | 2.08 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.17 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 | 2.42 |
| X2Brentwood Town or Draw | 31% | 3.26 | 3.88 |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.57 | 5.85 |
| 2Brentwood Town to win | 13% | 7.86 | 12.20 |
| AH2 -1.5Brentwood Town -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 45.93 | - |
Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.17 | 5.85 | 12.20 | 1.44 | 2.42 | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 6.00 | 7.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | - | - |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 5.80 | 11.25 | 1.44 | 2.42 | 1.98 | 1.70 |
Recent form
Eastleigh- 10 OctAAFC Hornchurch0-2
- 3 OctHWoking1-3
- 30 SeptHSouthend1-1
- 26 SeptAHarrogate Town1-4
- 19 SeptHCarlisle1-0
Brentwood Town- 10 OctAChatham Town0-3
- 3 OctHDagenham & Redbridge3-1
- 30 SeptAWhyteleafe2-1
- 26 SeptHHashtag United3-3
- 22 SeptHMaldon & Tiptree5-1
Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town: FAQ
What is the Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams NOT to score at odds of 1.71. Our predicted score is Eastleigh 2-0 Brentwood Town.
Who is the favourite to win Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town?
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Eastleigh are favourites. Our model gives Eastleigh a 69% chance of winning, Brentwood Town 13%, and the draw 18%.
Will both teams score in Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town?
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We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town kick off?
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Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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