Copa del Rey· Round of 128
Covadonga
Valladolid28 Oct
Covadonga vs Valladolid Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Covadonga vs Valladolid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Covadonga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Valladolid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XCovadonga or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Valladolid or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Covadonga to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Valladolid to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Covadonga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Valladolid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Covadonga vs Valladolid preview & analysis
Match preview
Covadonga host Valladolid in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Covadonga arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to San Martín 2-4 away. Valladolid arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Albacete 5-0 at home.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Covadonga narrow favourites: Covadonga 37%, draw 31%, Valladolid 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Covadonga 1-0 Valladolid.
Recent form
Covadonga- 11 OctASan Martín2-4
- 4 OctHSiero2-1
- 26 SeptAColunga2-1
- 20 SeptHCaudal4-0
- 13 SeptALangreo2-2
Valladolid- 12 OctHAlbacete5-0
- 4 OctALas Palmas2-2
- 27 SeptHCordoba3-1
- 20 SeptAAD Ceuta FC1-1
- 13 SeptHOviedo0-3
Covadonga vs Valladolid: FAQ
What is the Covadonga vs Valladolid prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Covadonga 1-0 Valladolid.
Who is the favourite to win Covadonga vs Valladolid?
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Covadonga are favourites. Our model gives Covadonga a 37% chance of winning, Valladolid 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Covadonga vs Valladolid?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Covadonga vs Valladolid kick off?
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Covadonga vs Valladolid kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
