Brasileirão· Regular Season - 37· Neo Quimica Arena
Corinthians
Gremio29 Nov
Corinthians vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Corinthians vs Gremio tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Corinthians +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XCorinthians or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Gremio +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Gremio or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Corinthians to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Corinthians -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Gremio to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gremio -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Corinthians vs Gremio preview & analysis
Match preview
Corinthians host Gremio in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 37) at Neo Quimica Arena on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Corinthians are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1-4 away. They're 16th in the table with 32 points from 30 games. Gremio arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Internacional 1-1 at home. They're 18th in the table with 31 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Corinthians have won 3, Gremio have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Corinthians narrow favourites: Corinthians 44%, draw 38%, Gremio 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Corinthians 2-1 Gremio.
Recent form
Corinthians- 11 OctAPalmeiras1-4
- 7 OctAInternacional1-2
- 20 SeptHFluminense1-3
- 17 SeptHEstudiantes L.P.0-1
- 13 SeptAFlamengo1-2
Gremio- 11 OctHInternacional1-1
- 7 OctARemo1-1
- 20 SeptHPalmeiras0-0
- 16 SeptABotafogo2-3
- 12 SeptHVasco DA Gama1-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Corinthians vs Gremio: FAQ
What is the Corinthians vs Gremio prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Corinthians 2-1 Gremio.
Who is the favourite to win Corinthians vs Gremio?
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Corinthians are favourites. Our model gives Corinthians a 44% chance of winning, Gremio 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Gremio?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Corinthians vs Gremio kick off?
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Corinthians vs Gremio kicks off at 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo.
