Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 10
Casa Pia
Sporting CP30 Oct
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 30 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Casa Pia vs Sporting CP tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sporting CP +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Sporting CP or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Casa Pia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XCasa Pia or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Sporting CP to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sporting CP -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.36 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 1Casa Pia to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Casa Pia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.02 | - |
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP preview & analysis
Match preview
Casa Pia host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 10) on Friday, 30 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Casa Pia are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Santa Clara 0-1 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 8 games. Sporting CP arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Lens 2-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Casa Pia have won 0, Sporting CP have won 6 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sporting CP narrow favourites: Casa Pia 17%, draw 41%, Sporting CP 42%. We expect around 2.6 goals (0.9 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Casa Pia 0-1 Sporting CP.
Recent form
Casa Pia- 10 OctHSanta Clara0-1
- 20 SeptAEstoril2-1
- 12 SeptHFC Porto1-4
- 6 SeptAVitória SC0-0
- 30 AugHMoreirense0-1
Sporting CP- 13 OctALens2-0
- 9 OctASC Braga3-1
- 19 SeptHArouca2-2
- 13 SeptAFamalicao1-1
- 9 SeptHGalatasaray3-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: FAQ
What is the Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Casa Pia 0-1 Sporting CP.
Who is the favourite to win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
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Sporting CP are favourites. Our model gives Casa Pia a 17% chance of winning, Sporting CP 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Casa Pia vs Sporting CP kick off?
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Casa Pia vs Sporting CP kicks off at 20:15 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026.
