Carlisle vs Tamworth Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off 15:00

Our prediction

Both teams to score

Low· 53%

1xBetBet

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

1-0

Fair odds

1.89

Expected goals

1.4 - 1.2

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Match probabilities

37%Carlisle

31%Draw

32%Tamworth

Over 2.5 goals48%

Under 2.5 goals52%

Both teams to score53%

Clean sheet either side47%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Carlisle vs Tamworth tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH1 +1.5Carlisle +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	86%	1.17	-
AH2 +1.5Tamworth +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	82%	1.22	-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	74%	1.36	-
1XCarlisle or Draw	68%	1.48	-
X2Tamworth or Draw	63%	1.58	-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals	52%	1.93	-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.08	-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	47%	2.12	-
1Carlisle to win	37%	2.72	-
2Tamworth to win	32%	3.09	-
XDraw	31%	3.25	-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	26%	3.79	-
AH1 -1.5Carlisle -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	18%	5.45	-
AH2 -1.5Tamworth -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	14%	6.92	-

Carlisle vs Tamworth preview & analysis

Match preview

Carlisle host Tamworth in the FA Cup (4th Round Qualifying) on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Carlisle arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Kidderminster Harriers 0-0 at home. Tamworth arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Barrow 1-2 at home.

Head to head

In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Carlisle have won 1, Tamworth have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Carlisle narrow favourites: Carlisle 37%, draw 31%, Tamworth 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

Our tip

Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Carlisle 1-0 Tamworth.