Europa League· League Stage - 3· Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
AC Milan22 Oct
Bournemouth vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.1 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bournemouth vs AC Milan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bournemouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XBournemouth or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| AH2 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 59% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| X2AC Milan or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Bournemouth to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bournemouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 41% | 2.46 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| 2AC Milan to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.73 | - |
Bournemouth vs AC Milan preview & analysis
Match preview
Bournemouth host AC Milan in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Vitality Stadium on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bournemouth arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Sturm Graz 3-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 6 points from 2 games. AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 away. They're 16th in the table with 3 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bournemouth favourites: Bournemouth 47%, draw 41%, AC Milan 12%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bournemouth 2-0 AC Milan.
Recent form
Bournemouth- 15 OctHSturm Graz3-0
- 10 OctAChelsea1-5
- 20 SeptHLiverpool0-1
- 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
- 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
AC Milan- 15 OctARed Bull Salzburg4-0
- 11 OctASassuolo1-1
- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |  OFI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: FAQ
What is the Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Bournemouth 2-0 AC Milan.
Who is the favourite to win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
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Bournemouth are favourites. Our model gives Bournemouth a 47% chance of winning, AC Milan 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Bournemouth vs AC Milan kick off?
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Bournemouth vs AC Milan kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
